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This page will be updated when factors , stats, or ideas of potential importance arise. Use them as you will in your decision-making.

as of 3/14

  • Betting any (all) rank/s with a factor mark (<<<<) at odds 8/5 to 19/1 yielded a break-even ROI of .99% and a hit percentage of 40% (these are overall numbers – regardless of whether or not it was also a win-bet choice).
    If the minimum acceptable odds is raised to 7-2 the numbers became ROI 1.15  hit percentage still 40%
  • The Index 4th ranked horse is often a question mark during bet decision time.  Below are some extremely interesting figures (to date).
    If the 4th ranked runner also has a factor mark (of any type) and is off at . . .

     7-2 to 19-1  5-1 to 19-1
    cnt   81 58
    hit   13 10
    hit %   0.16 0.17
    in:   162 116
    out   220.4 191
    ROI   1.36 1.65

          

  • If an Index horse is going off at less than 8-5 and there either no, or only one other horse with factor marks – then adding a wager on the next highest ranked horse that is going off at min. 7-2 and is not up in odds is showing a good profit. Example:
2/18/2021 FG 5 8 D  4 Cold Hearted Wench 2.5 0.8 < < < <
 7 Miss Commish 4.5 5 $4.8
 5 Summer Express 12 14
 8 Orb’s Soul 4 3.5 $9 $4.2

In this – the 5th at Fg , the top horse Cold Hearted Wench was off at odds-on and had all the factor marks. Only one other Index horse, Orb’s Soul, was down from its morning line odds of 4-1, and it was also at the 7-2 min.  A wager could have been made on that one.  The numbers on these so far: