Results Breeders Cup 2014
We’ve had several ask how the HRG Breeders Cup Report did this year, so rather than respond to each individually, I’ll post the “results” below . . .
And – rather than give a long blow-by-blow, I’ll just go over the winning races and the totals – for bet amount levels of; $10 per horse for win, $3 per combination for exacta, and $1 per ticket trifecta. . . . (so generally $20 per race in for win, $24 per race exacta and $32 per race trifecta (in 8 of the races we went with 6 horses in both the second and third slots)
So all-races totals money-in for the above bet levels:
– Win $240
– Exacta $288
– Trifecta $432
The Report hit only 4 winners (interestingly these included the first BC race on Friday, and the last BC race on Saturday!)
– the $14 winner, Hootenanny, in the Juvenile Turf,
– the $29.80 winner, Texas Red, in the Juvenile
– the $14.40 winner, Main Sequence, in the Turf
– and the controversial $14.20 winner, Bayern, in the Classic.
WIN: We win wagered two horses (as suggested in the Report) in 12 races – passing one race – the Dirt Mile where we just didn’t want to go against the 3/5 eventual winner, Goldencents.
So – at the bet level mentioned above – that was $240 in with $362 out for a profit of $122 and a win ROI of +50.8%
EXACTAS: The Report hit 3 exactas – the $100.60 exacta in the Juvenile (Texas Red to Carpe Diem), the $64.80 exacta in the Turf (Main Sequence to Flintshire), and the nice $249.80 exacta in the Classic (Bayern to Toast of New York).
So – at the bet level mentioned above that was $288 in with $622.8 out for a profit of $334.80 and a win ROI of +116.2%
TRIFECTAS: The Report also hit the trifectas in the three exacta races above – the $1 tri paid $335.70, $263.70, and $1043.60.
So – at the bet levels mentioned above that was $432 in with $1643 out for a profit of $1,211 and a win ROI of +280.3%
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Similar to last year – even though the Report didn’t hit either of the big bombs (Take Charge Brandi win:$125.40 / ex: $1,557.20 / tri $11, 309 – or – Karakonite $62 / $663.40 / $5,010.70), it did very well with an overall ROI of +173.7%
. . . We’re already looking forward to BC 2015!!
Comments welcomed – let me know how you fared – with or without the BC Report.
– Gary
Hi Gary,
BC day was great just as I thought it would be. As I stated I had to work and missed the whole thing but come next Jan. 2015 I will start my Home Base betting Business using your HRG index
Best Regards
Paul R
Paul – I wish you the very best of fortune in your betting endeavors. My best advise to players? – Temper one’s expectations (on the amounts of $ you’ll make), keep copious and accurate records, continue to study the game, play with confidence, yet with a very healthy respect for the vagaries of the game – the ups and downs that can (and will) occur – and racing luck (both bad and good).
Regards – Gary
Bombed. Every year I look at the Breeder’s Cup as a chance at winning a lottery of sorts, as in one of the big trifectas or supers. Haven’t hit the lottery yet. But I’m consistent.
Dave – Bummer – you’ll get ’em next year . . . but there were a couple of lottery-like payoffs again this year weren’t there!?
For us, and those using the Index, the “medium-good” hits are what we are pretty much after. By nature of usually choosing from the top 4 of 5 for the win spot – we’ll generally miss the monster pay offs, but sticking with the overlays on top gets some very profitable results – even with logical horses coming in. The Classic was the perfect example of that: Bayern and Toast of New York were the only two overlays from the top 5 (Cal Chrome was hovering right at ML odds and just a tick over our Betting Line, but I had already said in the Report blurb on that one that I would likely be passing if I didn’t get a good price on him). When both of those ‘on-top’ horses ran one-two at 6/1 and 18/1, then even with the second fav Cal Chrome running third – the tri paid very nicely ($1043.60) – and of course the exacta was juicy as well. – Gary