Tools For The New Year

Tools For The New Year

There is a tool that can provide you with handicapping information that the crowd does not havea way to get and use data that no other handicapper has access to!

Unique and profitable data – beyond pp’s – beyond track models, par models, bias models, or results models.

It’s use paves the way to winning the “game within the game . . .”

After a person has been handicapping for a good while,  
– and has bought and read several good books on the game
– and has learned the basics of measuring speed, class, pace
– and has got to know well a few tracks – their jockey colonies, and top trainers
– and has tried some good methods (and bad), and has bet serious cash into the game
– and still doesn’t make the kind of profits they need

. . . then what?

 

The handicapping trail for most usually develops into a “long and dusty” one! There comes a lot more of the same; study, learn, test, bet, tweak, research, bet, tweak, study – etc. etc..

A few are successful. 

There are those that have a knack for the game – the ‘naturals’ who have a canniness – a wise slyness.

There are also those who have earned their edge by constantly honing their craft – who garner bottom-line profits percentage point by hard-won percentage point.

But the unfortunate reality persists – 95% of those who are betting the races regularly – end up in the red.

 

So – how to turn the corner – how to get into the upper 5% club?

 

Could it be that those few who do profit (some substantially!) are utilizing information that the 95% don’t have?

Yes.           

What is that info?

Aside from accurate “insider” info about the connections’ intentions, the horses’ health, illegal drug use, or an intentional “fix” . . .

All other information comes in the form of data.

But (some might ask) computers have made data gathering easy. Public access to all the various data providers, software programs and methods available out there – surely means all data is available to everyone – right?”

Well, no – there is some data that can be known only by you, the individual handicapper. . .

 

A riddle statement: Sharp players know that they can’t know what others know, but they can know what others don’t know.

 

The data that can only be known by you – is that data derived from the results of you handicapping yourself . . . Being astute to your own handicapping history – your own past performances – i.e. having the pp’s about yourself.

A successful handicapper/bettor simply knows a bit more about “what works” than the next player.

He gets this knowledge by keeping in-depth records.

Why don’t more handicappers incorporate this approach into their game?

Because it is time-consuming and tedious work. This is information that can’t be provided by any service, but which must be ‘dug out’ by the individual.

The handicapper must create, populate, and maintain an in-depth spreadsheet/program that allows finding and focusing in on the profit points and sweet spots of one’s own game.

 

***At the bottom of this post we will offer a pre-made spreadsheet for some of you – that will eliminate all the hard work and the trial-and-error aspects of creating your own.

 

 

The kind of self-handicapping tool I’m speaking of is the next step – beyond basic past performance analysis – beyond track models, par models, bias models, or results models.  

It’s the game within the game: That of modifying one’s decisions and wagers in response to a ‘magnifying glass’ level of knowledge of oneself – a pinpoint awareness of the niches/factors where one is strong, and those where one is weak.

It’s the 5% / 95% separator.

Of the nearly limitless handicapping factors and combinations of factors that the data can provide – which ones did I use profitably, (or which ones would have been profitable had I have used them) and which ones cost me money?

Factors and combinations of factors will be found by this tool that prove optimal to the individual handicappers’ own bottom line.

Again – this is unique information. It is not what a book or method said was best – not what some data provider says has been best over the last 10,000 races at all tracks – and not what any public consensus, or software-provided consensus says is best.  It will show what is actually best – for YOU.

——————————————-

So – what does the optimal spreadsheet look like?

First – the spreadsheet needs to be designed to accept the format of the comma-delineated download data from whatever program or provider the handicapper uses. ‘Hand input’ for a software-level spreadsheet that is capable of tracking, comparing, identifying, and weighting from among say 30-40 factors and their 100s of potential combinations . . . is out of the question. It’s entirely too time consuming.

Some handicapping software programs have their own built-in collating functions that gather and sort cumulative data for the various factors the program uses. But again – this most often steers the handicapper into the boxes the program has pre-decided are most important.

Second – most functions need to be automated so that re-inputting, or re-assigning weighting values, or performing calculations – are mostly unnecessary.

Third – the most pertinent readouts need to be visually easy to access for quick real-time decision making and intra-day handicapping while working multiple tracks.

=======================

What will you gain from using a tool like this?

As an example from a recent 134 race sample set wagered at Laurel Park (all races put through handicapping software before entering the resultant data into my spreadsheet) . . .

Immediately below is a table showing the ROI and hit % results for the top-two ranked horses in: dirt sprints, turf sprints, dirt routes, and turf routes.

Roi is expressed in return per dollar wagered: 1.41 = $1.41 returned for every $1.00 wagered (a profit of 41%) whereas .75 = 75 cents returned for every $1.00 wagered (a loss of 25%), etc..

 

– On the left are the stats from using the software’s primary “power” (final decision-making consensus) factor readout. This readout takes many different factors into consideration then spits out a final overall ranking.
– On the right are the results by using the best 2 factors’ mined from the spreadsheet data (from among the scores of factors tracked) which exposed unique factors that greatly increased the potential profits.

 

Dirt Sprints ROI   Hit %     ROI   Hit %
top rank: 1.41   34%     1.80   31%
2nd rank: 0.88   16%     1.57   32%
 
Turf Sprints  
top rank: 0.99   21%     2.14   47%
2nd rank: 0.75   16%     1.61   37%
 
Dirt Routes  
top rank: 0.76   19%     1.39   21%
2nd rank: 0.61   15%     1.28   20%
 
Turf Routes  
top rank: 1.36   27%     1.66   28%
2nd rank: 0.89   34%     1.49   33%

 

!!  – The increases in profits across-the-board are astounding. 

Of course, collected spreadsheet data – like the entire process of handicapping – is a look at history. And as life teaches – the results of history “looked back at” doesn’t necessarily mean that future results will be the same.

Your actual bottom-line profit results will very likely fall somewhere between the optimized data picture, and the original results without using the spreadsheet.

However – by making decisions guided by the facts of your own ‘personal history handicapping’ – and making betting decisions based on an ever-updating, ever-optimized and unique data set . . . your bottom-line will ratchet up dramatically.

——————————

An offer for some of you . . .

I have developed such a spreadsheet tool for myself – years in the making really (counting all the testing, adjustments, tweaks, and re-formatting over time) – that has proven to be “worth its weight in gold.” 

  • It has been tailored for use with the RDSS software.
    .
  • It tracks every race handicapped – every horse and every wager.  It collates and quantifies the data into a visually sharp picture of the optimal (and the pitiful!), precise areas of one’s own game – by track, distance, surface, and odds.
    .
  • It makes betting decisions essentially automatic.
    .
  • It uses the RDSS ‘export data’ function as a starting point. Those of you who currently have access to RDSS – those who have purchased our TCIM, P Method, or were part of the mentoring group – will be able to start using this spreadsheet right away.
    .

For others who may want to try it – RDSS offers a 60 day no questions asked money back guarantee for NEW Subscribers. Also – those who are experienced Excel users might want to adapt this sheet to their own current other software (needs to provide data export that can be formatted to Excel).

I am currently in the process of creating the videos that will show how I use this spreadsheet program. All aspects of use and application will be thoroughly explained.

When those are finished – target date is Feb 1 (2/1/22 ) – I will send out an announcement. 

For those willing to invest the small amount of time it requires, it will be a boon that can positively change their game.

The price of the “Worth It’s Weight In Gold” spreadsheet program will be $77 USD.

You really want to begin your New Year with this one-of-a-kind profit tool!  (Excel required)

 

  Order here

——————————

 

The HRG Index will begin issuing again tomorrow, Thursday, 1/27/22.  It is another tool that can move your game ahead. This year has a slightly changed format that will enhance the ease of use and clarify decision-making. 
Info here:    https://horsebettingsuccess.com/hrg-index/
Order here:    https://horsebettingsuccess.com/order/

 

Warm regards – and a prosperous coming year to you all.

4 comments

  1. Gary,
    Two questions (for the uninitiated):
    1. The RDSS feed indicates that there are two fees – a software license fee in addition to the card download options. Am I reading that right?
    2. Does your spreadsheet allow me to insert specific factors I might want to include or add to the handicapping features that come with the RDSS or the sheet?
    Thanks,
    Dave

    • Dave -your questions: 1. Yes there is a subscription fee for the software (which becomes free if you are a monthly subscriber to TrackMaster) (and there is a free trial for the software to get your feet wet). Then, of course, Trackmaster – like all data providers – charges a per card fee – which becomes far less costly per card when subscribed by the “unlimited” option.
      2. You can add any factors to the spreadsheet you like – but if not part of the RDSS software data – it would have to be hand-entered. As well you would need to know Excel pretty well in order to add formulas here and there to adapt it. – Gary

  2. Hi Gary,
    Can you clarify your statement about the changed format that will make HRG index easier to use?

    • Jim – There are new color-coded factors that allow for easier decision-making – that clarify the ‘close’ choices and/or ‘ties’ between contenders.
      – Gary

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *